Wincrange vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
WIN
3 - 0
BOE
90%
7%
4%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MLI
1 - 2
WIN
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MER
3 - 0
WIN
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
WIN
4 - 2
ORA
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 6
LOR
38%
21%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MER
0 - 3
BAS
66%
18%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 0
LOR
20%
19%
61%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 2
ATE
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BAS
5 - 4
KEH
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BOE
2 - 2
BAS
14%
16%
70%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |