Winchester City vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
TAU
1 - 1
WIN
51%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
WIN
2 - 1
THA
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 2
WIN
42%
24%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
WIN
2 - 0
ABI
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
WIN
4 - 0
CHE
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 3
THA
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 1
DID
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 1
AND
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
HIL
1 - 2
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
SWI
0 - 0
BAS
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |