Wimpassing vs Horn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
71.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
SVH
1 - 0
SIG
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
KAP
2 - 0
SVH
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
SVH
2 - 4
ALT
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
SVH
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
SVH
0 - 7
RBS
13%
18%
70%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |