Wiltz 71 vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 0
BBM
39%
23%
38%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LXC
2 - 1
WIL
38%
24%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 2
ESC
48%
23%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
KAE
1 - 5
WIL
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
WIL
4 - 1
YBW
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UME
0 - 2
F91
4%
8%
88%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
UME
5 - 0
MAM
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
JEU
0 - 0
UME
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
UME
2 - 5
SWI
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 1
UME
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |