Wiltz 71 vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
WIL
10 - 0
JEU
61%
21%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BBM
2 - 5
WIL
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
RUM
2 - 2
WIL
48%
23%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 1
ETZ
39%
23%
39%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
4 - 0
ERP
64%
19%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
UME
1 - 1
ERP
42%
24%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UME
0 - 4
RUM
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
UME
2 - 1
USS
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MAM
1 - 1
UME
53%
23%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
UME
1 - 2
KAE
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |