Wiltz 71 vs Jeunesse d'Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
14º
10º
43
6º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
WIL
41%
25%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 0
WIL
47%
23%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 3
F91
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SWI
4 - 2
WIL
77%
15%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
4 - 4
USM
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jeunesse d'Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
JEU
2 - 0
VIC
51%
24%
24%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KAE
1 - 4
JEU
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UNA
0 - 1
JEU
47%
22%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
JEU
0 - 0
FOL
34%
22%
44%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
JEU
4 - 2
BET
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |