Wilpas vs Musan Salama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
83.1%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
10%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.6%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wilpas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
ALA
4 - 3
WIL
79%
13%
9%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 1
TPK
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
AIF
6 - 2
WIL
70%
17%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
4 - 2
TPS
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
INT
3 - 1
WIL
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
TPK
1 - 3
MUS
6%
10%
84%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
MUS
6 - 0
TPS
82%
11%
7%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 2
MUS
7%
12%
81%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 1
SAL
28%
24%
49%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
MAP
2 - 1
MUS
8%
14%
79%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -1 |