Wilpas vs Åland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
68.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wilpas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
TPK
2 - 1
WIL
63%
18%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 5
AIF
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
TPS
4 - 0
WIL
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 4
INT
6%
10%
84%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 2
WIL
49%
20%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Åland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
AIF
35%
21%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
INT
6 - 0
ALA
79%
12%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 3
PEI
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
VGN
2 - 3
ALA
29%
21%
50%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 3
MUS
15%
16%
69%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -2 |