Willisau vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
32.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
WIL
3 - 2
SAR
85%
9%
5%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
WIL
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 3
HER
57%
19%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
TEA
2 - 2
WIL
25%
20%
55%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 3
BRU
87%
9%
5%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
MEN
1 - 1
NOV
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
MEN
40%
24%
35%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MEN
1 - 2
TEA
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 0
MEN
14%
20%
66%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
MEN
2 - 1
LUZ
62%
20%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |