Willisau vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
TEA
2 - 2
WIL
25%
20%
55%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 3
BRU
87%
9%
5%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
EMM
2 - 2
WIL
45%
21%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FCC
0 - 2
WIL
33%
21%
46%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WIL
5 - 1
PER
68%
16%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
NOV
40%
21%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
HER
3 - 1
SAR
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 1
HER
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HER
4 - 1
BRU
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |