Willisau vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
15.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
47.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
BRU
3 - 1
WIL
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCA
72%
15%
13%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 3
WIL
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 4
NOV
58%
19%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 2
WIL
71%
16%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FCP
5 - 0
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
BRU
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 3
HER
20%
19%
61%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
IBA
3 - 2
HER
26%
22%
53%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
SAR
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |