Willisau vs FC Paradiso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
69.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
HER
33%
20%
47%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
BRU
3 - 1
WIL
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCA
72%
15%
13%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 3
WIL
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 4
NOV
58%
19%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FCP
5 - 0
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCP
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
FCP
3 - 0
IBA
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
TAV
1 - 1
FCP
12%
21%
67%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
FCP
2 - 0
PER
87%
9%
4%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |