Willikies vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-89%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 1
WIL
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ALL
5 - 1
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ORO
3 - 0
WIL
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
GOL
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 2
HOP
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAP
3 - 1
GOL
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SAP
1 - 1
HOP
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAP
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
SEA
1 - 8
SAP
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
SAP
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |