Willikies vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ORO
7 - 2
WIL
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
WIL
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 2
SEA
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 2
WIL
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 3
ALL
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SAP
0 - 2
PAR
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALL
3 - 4
SAP
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SEA
0 - 1
SAP
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAP
1 - 1
ORO
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 1
SAP
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |