Willikies vs Pigotts Bullets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 4
PAR
46%
21%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 1
EGF
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 3
GSF
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
VLI
3 - 3
WIL
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GRE
4 - 1
WIL
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pigotts Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 1
PBU
62%
20%
19%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ALL
0 - 0
PBU
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VLI
2 - 1
PBU
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PBU
3 - 1
SWE
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
PBU
2 - 5
ORO
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |