Willikies vs Pigotts Bullets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2011 |
EGF
2 - 0
WIL
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 0
SAP
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ORO
7 - 2
WIL
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
WIL
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 2
SEA
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pigotts Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2011 |
PBU
3 - 2
SAP
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ALL
6 - 1
PBU
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
EGF
3 - 0
PBU
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PBU
1 - 2
ORO
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
HOP
2 - 2
PBU
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |