Willikies vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
VLI
2 - 2
WIL
53%
23%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 1
GOL
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
ALL
2 - 0
WIL
61%
21%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SAP
3 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 4
ORO
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 4
HOP
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PTI
3 - 1
PAR
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 3
VLI
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 2
JEU
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |