Willikies vs Empire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 2
PAR
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SEA
4 - 1
WIL
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
WIL
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 1
ORO
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
HOP
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Empire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
HOP
2 - 0
EGF
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 0
EGF
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PBU
2 - 1
EGF
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SEA
1 - 1
EGF
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
EGF
1 - 3
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |