Willem II vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 3
RKC
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
WIL
0 - 1
FOR
73%
17%
11%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
GRO
0 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 3
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
AJA
5 - 1
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
VIT
1 - 1
SPA
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
VIT
1 - 0
UTR
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
AZA
0 - 2
VIT
24%
28%
49%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
VOL
1 - 1
VIT
24%
27%
49%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
VIT
2 - 0
TWE
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |