Eredivisie Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 3-5
Willem II vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 2
WIL
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
WIL
3 - 2
FCD
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
FCD
2 - 1
WIL
44%
24%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 1
WIL
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 2
ZWO
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 2
WIL
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 1
BOS
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
BOS
0 - 0
TEL
36%
25%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ADO
0 - 1
TEL
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 0
ADO
34%
23%
42%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |