Willem II vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 2
FCE
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EIN
0 - 3
WIL
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 1
FCD
49%
24%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
WIL
7 - 1
JON
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
TEL
2 - 5
FCD
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 2
TEL
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
TEL
0 - 8
EXC
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 0
TEL
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
HEL
1 - 1
TEL
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |