Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
APE
2 - 1
WIL
52%
23%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
4 - 2
WIL
30%
23%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 2
TEL
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 2
WIL
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 1
MVV
42%
25%
34%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 1
ALM
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 6
SPA
13%
17%
70%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
BOS
0 - 1
SPA
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 2
FCO
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
ZWO
2 - 0
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |