Willem II vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
49.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 2
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
13%
18%
69%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRO
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 0
WIL
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 0
VVV
51%
23%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
RJC
3 - 3
VIT
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TWE
2 - 0
RJC
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
RJC
2 - 2
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
ZWO
3 - 2
RJC
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
RJC
0 - 1
FEY
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |