Willem II vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
BEN
2 - 8
WIL
8%
15%
77%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 1
ZWO
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 1
WIL
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 0
SCH
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
RJC
0 - 0
GRO
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 0
RJC
8%
15%
78%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 1
RJC
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 0
RJC
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
RJC
0 - 2
RBC
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |