Willem II vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1991 |
RKC
2 - 0
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1991 |
WIL
5 - 2
SCH
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
85%
11%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1991 |
WIL
6 - 0
SVV
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
WIL
0 - 1
MVV
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1991 |
RJC
1 - 2
VIT
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1991 |
SVV
3 - 1
RJC
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
RJC
2 - 2
SPA
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1991 |
VOL
2 - 0
RJC
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
AJA
4 - 1
RJC
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |