Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 2
WIL
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
29%
24%
46%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
KVM
4 - 1
WIL
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 0
ZWO
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
GAE
1 - 2
PSV
8%
16%
76%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PSV
0 - 4
FEY
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 2
RSO
43%
26%
32%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 3
PSV
25%
23%
52%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PSV
5 - 2
GRO
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |