Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
71.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 0
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
FEY
3 - 0
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 0
RJC
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ADO
2 - 1
WIL
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
HER
1 - 0
WIL
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
PSV
3 - 0
UTR
70%
18%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FEY
1 - 3
PSV
24%
23%
54%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PSV
2 - 2
SCH
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 2
PSV
10%
18%
73%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
PSV
1 - 0
EXC
80%
15%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |