Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
RJC
0 - 1
WIL
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GRO
0 - 0
WIL
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
WIL
3 - 3
ADO
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
7 - 0
WIL
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
PSV
1 - 1
NEC
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
18%
25%
57%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PSV
6 - 2
AJA
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 2
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |