Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SCH
5 - 0
WIL
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 1
UTR
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
UTR
1 - 4
WIL
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
WIL
4 - 3
SCH
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 2
RJC
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
TWE
1 - 0
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
PSV
3 - 1
NEC
73%
17%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 3
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 1
PSV
48%
25%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 6
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |