Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
RJC
6 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
RKC
1 - 1
WIL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
WIL
2 - 0
GRO
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 3
FEY
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 1
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
PSV
3 - 0
AUX
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 1
NAC
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PSV
0 - 1
FEY
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
AUX
1 - 1
PSV
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
UTR
0 - 4
PSV
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |