Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
AZA
4 - 1
WIL
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 3
BVO
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 1
GAE
37%
27%
37%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 1
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
GAE
0 - 2
NEC
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
BVO
1 - 2
NEC
67%
17%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 2
PSV
10%
17%
73%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
RKC
2 - 1
NEC
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 3
BVO
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |