Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 3
SCH
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
WIL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 0
GRO
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ADO
0 - 1
WIL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
RJC
1 - 0
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 2
UTR
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 2
NEC
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NEC
6 - 1
VOL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
NEC
0 - 1
TOT
23%
26%
50%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |