Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
NEC
1 - 0
WIL
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
HFC
1 - 1
WIL
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 0
RJC
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 3
TWE
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRA
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
PSV
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
TEL
1 - 2
NAC
22%
22%
56%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
VVV
1 - 3
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |