Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis

Willem II NAC Breda
75 ELO 77
17.3% Tilt 4.3%
421º General ELO ranking 749º
15º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
50%
Willem II
23.5%
Draw
26.5%
NAC Breda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
Willem II
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.5%
Win probability
NAC Breda
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Willem II
-20%
-9%
NAC Breda

ELO progression

Willem II
NAC Breda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2004
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
0 - 0
Willem II
WIL
52%
23%
25%
75 75 0 0
24 Jan. 2004
WIL
Willem II
2 - 3
Twente
TWE
50%
23%
27%
75 76 1 0
21 Dec. 2003
GRO
Groningen
1 - 2
Willem II
WIL
37%
26%
37%
75 69 6 0
16 Dec. 2003
PSV
PSV
2 - 0
Willem II
WIL
74%
16%
10%
76 89 13 -1
13 Dec. 2003
ADO
ADO Den Haag
0 - 1
Willem II
WIL
40%
25%
35%
75 71 4 +1

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2004
NAC
NAC Breda
3 - 2
FC Volendam
VOL
63%
21%
16%
77 65 12 0
20 Dec. 2003
NAC
NAC Breda
3 - 2
RBC Roosendaal
RBC
55%
24%
21%
77 70 7 0
17 Dec. 2003
AJA
Ajax
0 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
77%
15%
8%
76 89 13 +1
12 Dec. 2003
RJC
Roda JC
2 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
48%
26%
26%
76 79 3 0
07 Dec. 2003
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 3
Heerenveen
SCH
39%
26%
35%
77 80 3 -1