Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
AZA
0 - 0
WIL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
WIL
2 - 3
TWE
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 2
WIL
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 0
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
ADO
0 - 1
WIL
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 2
VOL
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
NAC
3 - 2
RBC
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 1
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
RJC
2 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 3
SCH
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |