Willem II vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
FCD
3 - 2
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 1
GAE
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
BVV
1 - 3
WIL
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 1
NAC
22%
23%
56%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TWE
4 - 0
WIL
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
MVV
2 - 1
BVV
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
VOL
2 - 0
MVV
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
MVV
3 - 2
ALM
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 0
MVV
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
MVV
1 - 3
BVO
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |