Willem II vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
SPA
1 - 1
WIL
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
WIL
1 - 4
FEY
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1991 |
TWE
1 - 0
WIL
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
WIL
1 - 1
VOL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1991 |
FOR
0 - 0
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
MVV
0 - 1
FEY
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
VOL
2 - 0
MVV
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1991 |
MVV
2 - 1
VIT
34%
29%
38%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
FCD
2 - 3
MVV
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
MVV
1 - 0
VVV
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |