Willem II vs Krylia Sovetov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
KRS
3 - 1
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
STG
1 - 1
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 0
STG
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
WIL
0 - 0
FEY
37%
24%
38%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VIT
4 - 2
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Krylia Sovetov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
KRS
1 - 0
ROT
48%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
KRS
3 - 1
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
CSK
2 - 0
KRS
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
DIN
0 - 1
KRS
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
KRS
1 - 0
TOR
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |