Willem II vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
PSV
4 - 2
WIL
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 0
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
GAE
4 - 0
WIL
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FEY
2 - 0
WIL
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 2
AZA
8%
17%
75%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
TWE
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 1
HER
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
HER
1 - 4
FEY
12%
20%
68%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 2
HER
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
BOC
2 - 0
HER
60%
21%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |