Willem II vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
VVV
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
ARI
77%
16%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
KVM
41%
23%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 2
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
HER
4 - 2
ADO
50%
24%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 1
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
HEL
1 - 0
HER
11%
15%
75%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
HER
0 - 2
FIO
25%
24%
50%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
HER
5 - 0
ROS
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |