Willem II vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
UTR
46%
24%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PSV
2 - 1
WIL
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
WIL
36%
26%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
GAE
49%
24%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TWE
3 - 2
WIL
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 2
GRO
21%
23%
56%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AZA
3 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 0
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HER
0 - 3
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
BRU
1 - 0
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |