Willem II vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
56.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FEY
3 - 0
WIL
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VVV
4 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 5
UTR
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ADO
2 - 0
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 2
WIL
84%
12%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HER
5 - 1
RJC
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 2
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 0
HER
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
SPA
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HER
6 - 3
SCH
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |