Willem II vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
WIL
0 - 1
RJC
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
FLE
0 - 2
WIL
20%
21%
60%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
SCH
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
NEC
2 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
VIT
4 - 0
HER
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
EIN
3 - 2
HER
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HER
3 - 0
UTR
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |