Willem II vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 0
WIL
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
6 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 4
UTR
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
GRA
0 - 1
PSV
26%
26%
49%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
SCH
2 - 3
GRA
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |