Willem II vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
RJC
3 - 4
WIL
63%
20%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
WIL
0 - 4
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
BOS
1 - 1
WIL
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
WIL
0 - 0
PSV
24%
22%
54%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2000 |
NEC
2 - 1
WIL
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
GRA
0 - 1
FEY
18%
21%
61%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2000 |
AZA
2 - 0
GRA
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
GRA
2 - 0
RKC
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
PSV
6 - 0
GRA
83%
11%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |