Willem II vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PSV
5 - 0
WIL
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 2
ADO
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 0
ZWO
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GAE
1 - 4
HER
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
FEY
8 - 0
GAE
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 2
GAE
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
GAE
2 - 1
FCE
44%
24%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GAE
1 - 3
ZWO
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |