Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
FCO
0 - 1
WIL
23%
25%
53%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 2
JON
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
HEL
1 - 4
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
5 - 0
ALM
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
TEL
3 - 1
WIL
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
FCD
35%
26%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
JON
3 - 2
FOR
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
FCE
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
FOR
33%
26%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |