Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 1
WIL
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCD
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
GAE
1 - 3
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 1
BVV
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
TEL
1 - 0
WIL
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
BVV
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
FCE
0 - 4
FOR
32%
25%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
APE
2 - 4
FOR
39%
25%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
SPA
23%
23%
54%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
MVV
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |