Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 2
WIL
25%
26%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 2
TWE
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
BVO
0 - 2
WIL
26%
24%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
WIL
4 - 1
MVV
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 4
WIL
26%
26%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
FOR
1 - 2
AZA
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1999 |
FOR
2 - 3
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
SPA
5 - 0
FOR
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 0
FOR
79%
14%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
FOR
6 - 4
PSV
21%
22%
57%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |