Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
GAE
0 - 2
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
WIL
6 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1995 |
SCH
1 - 0
WIL
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 3
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
GAE
4 - 2
WIL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1995 |
GRO
2 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1995 |
FOR
1 - 3
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1993 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOS
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1993 |
AJA
5 - 1
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1993 |
FOR
1 - 1
BVO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |