Willem II vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
69%
18%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
RJC
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
FEY
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FEY
5 - 0
RJC
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
FEY
4 - 1
FCO
83%
12%
4%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 1
FEY
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
FEY
1 - 0
MUD
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |